Global Economic Security

Battlefield - Saudi Oil shipping Lanes

 

The war in Yemen is not over yet, but ending the military blockade could be a sign of a backdrop or fatigue regarding Saudi hostile activities.

The economic blockade which has lasted nearly two years has deprived Yemen of much needed supplies with even UN vessels having a difficult time transporting humanitarian aid to the war torn nation that has seen a man made famine and deteriorating outbreak of cholera as a result of the blockade.

Aden has become the de-facto seat of power for the pro-Saudi government in Yemen, ever since the government of Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi was forced to flee Sana’a in 2015 when moderate Houthi rebels supporting former President Saleh Ali al-Sammad took power in Sana’a.

As Aden is controlled by the enemies of the Houthis, there is ostensibly little chance that contraband could arrive at Aden and make their way to the northern regions controlled by the moderate Houthi rebels.

The Saudi regime has begun to cut its loses and decide to take the prerequisite steps towards partly declaring victory in Yemen by acknowledging that while Saudi’s allies will not control northern Yemen any time soon, that they have built an effective military base in southern Yemen.

Ever since the southern and northern Yemeni states became a united republic in 1990, the Southern Movement has been vocal about feeling excluded by the government in the north. The only winner of the Saudi (and Lebanon) great purge is Qatar.

One of the only ways that the Saudi’s can declare a victory that is actually meaningful, is to re-divide the north and south with the once Marxist-Leninist southern state, becoming a new Saudi ally, where the post-Nasserist north will likely become an ally of Iran, albeit one surrounded by Saudi forces.

Until Saudi Arabia lifts its blockade and siege of Houthi controlled areas in the north and west, it is premature to say that Saudi Arabia is not still very much intent on crushing the moderate Houthi rebels.

The Duran / AA Magnum News 2017. 

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